Authors:
  • I believe the calculation of the quantity of probability might be improved to a very useful and pleasant speculation, and applied to a great many events which are accidental, besides those of games; only these cases would be infinitely more confused, as depending on chances which the most part of men are ignorant of.

    John Arbuthnot (1770). “Miscellaneous Works of the Late Dr. Arbuthnot”, p.260