Authors:
  • There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient, and a random one. In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.

    "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable". Book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, 2007.