The stock market is the story of cycles and of the human behavior that is responsible for overreactions in both directions.
Investing is the intersection of economics and psychology.
The single greatest edge an investor can have is a long-term orientation.
Patience and discipline can make you look foolishly out of touch until they make you look prudent and even prescient
People should be highly sceptical of anyone's including their own, ability to predict the future, and instead pursue strategies that can survive whatever may occur.
You must buy on the way down. There is far more volume on the way down than on the way back up, and far less competition among buyers. It is almost always better to be too early than too late, but you must be prepared for price markdowns on what you buy.
Investing is the intersection of economics and psychology. The analysis is actually the easy part. The economics, the valuation of the business isn't that hard. The psychology - how much do you buy, do you buy it at this price, do you wait for a lower price, what do you do when it looks like the world might end - those things are harder. Knowing whether you stand there, buy more, or whether something has legitimately gone wrong and you need to sell, those are harder things. That you learn with experience, by having the right psychological makeup.
The best protection against risk is knowing what you are doing.
Over the long run, the crowd is always wrong.
In investing it is never wrong to change your mind. It is only wrong to change your mind and do nothing about it.
We are big fans of fear, and in investing it is clearly better to be scared than sorry.
We worry top-down, but we invest bottom-up
Ultimately, nothing should be more important to investors than the ability to sleep soundly at night.
The near absence of bargains works as a reverse indicator for us. When we find there is little worth buying, there is probably much worth selling.
Successful investors tend to be unemotional, allowing the greed and fear of others to play into their hands. By having confidence in their own analysis and judgement, they respond to market forces not with blind emotion but with calculated reason. Successful investors, for example, demonstrate caution in frothy markets and steadfast conviction in panicky ones. Indeed, the very way an investor views the market and it’s price fluctuations is a key factor in his or her ultimate investment success or failure.
The inability to hold cash and the pressure to be fully invested at all times meant that when the plug was pulled out of the tub, all boats dropped as the water rushed down the drain.
The way to maximize outcome is to focus on the process.
I think markets will never be efficient because of human nature.
Value investing is at its core the marriage of a contrarian streak and a calculator.
The overwhelming majority of people are comfortable with consensus, but successful investors tend to have a contrarian bent.
Loss avoidance must be the cornerstone of your investment philosophy.
There's no such thing as a value company. Price is all that matters. At some price, an asset is a buy, at another it's a hold, and at another it's a sell.
Graham's wonderful sentence as, an investor needs only two things: cash and courage. Having only one of them is not enough.
Value investing is simple to understand but difficult to implement. Value investors are not supersophisticated analytical wizards who create and apply intricate computer models to find attractive opportunities or assess underlying value. The hard part is discipline, patience, and judgment. Investors need discipline to avoid the many unattractive pitches that are thrown, patience to wait for the right pitch, and judgment to know when it is time to swing.
Typically, we make money when we buy things. We count the profits later, but we know we have captured them when we buy the bargain.
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