Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there.
I've just always been a bit of a dork.
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view.
I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot.
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
You get steely nerves playing poker.
Racism is predictable. It's predicted by interaction or lack thereof with people unlike you, people of other races.
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome.
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.
People have different ways of interpreting history.
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