Predictions Quotes - Page 11

• I hate to make predictions, but I think the economy is going to be permanently changed for the worse. I think our foreign policy is going to lead to changes that will be definitely for the worse, particularly if we drift into a nuclear Iran, which I gather that's what the administration is doing.

  Thomas Sowell

  Hate, Thinking, Nuclear Iran

  Source: www.foxnews.com

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• I'm not trying to frighten you, but only a fool makes predictions based on ignorance; I am not that sort of fool.

  Robert A. Heinlein

  Ignorance, Trying, Fool

  Robert A. Heinlein (1987). “I Will Fear No Evil”, p.136, Penguin

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• Predictions are uttered by prophets (free of charge); by clairvoyants (who usually charge a fee, and are therefore more honored in their day than prophets); and by futurologists (salaried). Prediction is the business of prophets, clairvoyants, and futurologists. It is not the business of novelists. A novelist's business is lying.

  Ursula K. Le Guin

  Lying, Novelists, Prophet

  Ursula K. Le Guin (2000). “The Left Hand of Darkness”, p.8, Penguin

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• Prediction can never be absolutely valid and therefore science can never prove some generalization or even test a single descriptive statement and in that way arrive at final truth.

  Gregory Bateson

  Finals, Tests, Way

  "Mind and Nature - a Necessary Unity". Book by Gregory Bateson, new edition, 1988.

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• The usefulness of the models in constructing a testable theory of the process is severely limited by the quickly increasing number of parameters which must be estimated in order to compare the predictions of the models with empirical results.

  Anatol Rapoport

  Numbers, Order, Theory

  Anatol Rapoport, Albert M. Chammah (1965). “Prisoner's Dilemma: A Study in Conflict and Cooperation”, p.150, University of Michigan Press

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• It may happen that small differences in the initial conditions produce very great ones in the final phenomena. A small error in the former will produce an enormous error in the later. Prediction becomes impossible, and we have the fortuitous phenomena.

  Henri Poincare

  Errors, Differences, Finals

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• As for my prediction that this phone would be a bad idea for Apple to pursue, anything can still happen. Time is a cruel mistress.

  John C. Dvorak

  Iphone, Ideas, Apples

  "Wrong? Dvorak blames his 'getting screwed over' by Apple" by Paul McNamara, www.networkworld.com. June 27, 2012.

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• For decades, people have known the chemical-propulsion approach to space travel is really not going to get us that far. Chemical propulsion is essentially like the horse-and-cart approach to the exploration of the American West, instead of the steamboat or the railroad.

  Franklin Chang Diaz

  Horse, Future, Space

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• We will eventually build space science labs and hotels, prodding the capability for missions beyond the orbit of the Earth. Our space-hotel guests will be able to take breath-taking excursions, flying a couple of hundred feet above the Moon's surface in small two-man spaceships. In time, we will launch missions to Mars and beyond.

  Richard Branson

  Couple, Future, Men

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• If belief in the existence of God is predicted to lead to a feeling of contentment, and the prediction is fulfilled, does it follow that God exists? Surely not. All that would follow would be the desireability of the belief.

  Richard Posner

  Spiritual, Atheist, Science

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• Prediction is a very difficult business, particularly about the future

  Fred Singer

  Political, Program, Difficult

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• Music is art, and art is important and rare. Important, rare things are valuable. Valuable things should be paid for. It’s my opinion that music should not be free, and my prediction is that individual artists and their labels will someday decide what an album’s price point is. I hope they don’t underestimate themselves or undervalue their art.

  Taylor Swift

  Art, Important, Albums

  "Taylor Swift takes a stand over Spotify music royalties" by Hannah Ellis-Petersen, www.theguardian.com. November 5, 2014.

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• What do you call an economist with a prediction? Wrong.

  Robert Kuttner

  Economist

  "What Do You Call An Economist With A Prediction? Wrong" by Robert Kuttner, www.bloomberg.com. September 5, 1999.

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• DREAM PREDICTION ELITE is the realization of true amazement in your audiences reactions. This is PURE GOLD - A REAL WINNER

  Banachek

  Dream, Real, Gold

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• It is very difficult to make an accurate prediction, especially about the future.

  Niels Bohr

  Difficult, Accurate

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• We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

  Nate Silver

  Needs, Problem, Very Good

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.19, Penguin

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• On the conservative side, today's libertarianism is far more dogmatic and devoid of qualification than the liberalism of Adam Smith or J.S. Mill. Like Marxism, libertarianism is a utopian worldview based on an economic-determinist vision of history. Unlike Marxism, libertarianism is highly specific in its predictions about the transition to the utopian world order, rendering it vulnerable to fact.

  Michael Lind

  Order, Vision, Transition

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• A prediction, in a field where prediction is not possible, is no more than a prejudice.

  Malcolm Gladwell

  Prejudice, Fields

  "Most Likely To Succeed". www.newyorker.com. December 15, 2008.

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• The first men who set out for Mars had better make sure they leave everything at home in apple-pie order. They won't get back to earth for more than two and a half years. The difficulties of a trip to mars are formidable. . . . What curious information will these first explorers carry back from Mars? Nobody knows-and its extremely doubtful that anyone now living will ever know. All that can be said with certainty today is this: the trip will be made, and will be made . . . someday.

  Wernher von Braun

  Future, Home, Men

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• Despite the immense distance between our own solar system (including the earth) and the nearest other solar systems, a journey from one system to another is theoretically possible, once an unlimited source of power is developed.

  Hermann Oberth

  Distance, Future, Journey

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• The exploration of the planets is now closer to us in time than the exploration of Africa by Stanley and Livingstone.

  Arthur C. Clarke

  Future, Exploration, Planets

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• If we were to start today on an organized and well-supported space program I believe a practical passenger rocket can be built and tested within ten years.

  Wernher von Braun

  Future, Believe, Space

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• Space travel is utter bilge. I don't think anybody will ever put up enough money to do such a thing. . . . It is all rather rot.

  Richard van der Riet Woolley

  Future, Thinking, Space

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• U.S. has lost a battle more important and greater than Pearl Harbor.

  Edward Teller

  Future, Important, Battle

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• Really exotic methods of propulsion . . . will have to be devised to get there. How it will be done, I do not know. Whether it will be done, I am not quite certain. But I would bet it can be done.

  Edward Teller

  Future, Exotic, Done

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