The empiric easily degenerates into the quack. He does not know where his knowledge begins or leaves off, and so when he gets beyond routine conditions he begins to pretend-to make claims for which there is no justification, and to trust to luck and to ability to impose upon others-to "bluff."
Those who refused to respond to the new stimulus would perish. Adapt or perish.
Sometimes one must try anything, it is no disgrace. On the contrary, it is a sign of wisdom.
I never liked the idea of doing what a machine says. I hate having to salute something built in a factory.
It's not what happened but how it is told.
Either I've invented a whole new logic or, ahem, I'm not playing with a full deck.
Can we consider the universe real, and if so, in what way?
It is futile to try to make the universe add up. But I guess we must go on anyhow.
Of course, the entire effort is to put myself Outside the ordinary range Of what are called statistics. A hundred are killed In the outer suburbs. Well, well, I carry on.
The same set of statistics can produce opposite conclusions at different levels of aggregation.
The statistician cannot excuse himself from the duty of getting his head clear on the principles of scientific inference, but equally no other thinking man can avoid a like obligation.
You can always create a fraction by putting one variable upstairs and another variable downstairs, but that soes not establish any causal relationship between them, nor does the resulting quotient have any necessary relationship to anything in the real world.
All models are approximations. Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful. However, the approximate nature of the model must always be borne in mind.
My mother was an economics professor. I'm proficient in math, and statistics, game theory, symbolic logic and all of that.
With demands for special education or standardized test prep being shouted in their ears, public schools can't always hear a parent when he says: 'I want my child to be able to write contracts in Spanish,' or, 'I want my child to shake hands firmly,' or, 'I want my child to study statistics and accounting, not calculus.
The statistics show that when you've done something for so long, it'll either be, yeah, you're slowing down, or someone's doing it better. But physically, I feel great. More than that, it's mental and spiritual.
What makes a terrorist? Are the drivers primarily political or economic? Princeton economist Alan Krueger has made a great study of this question...What Makes a Terrorist lacks a question mark. That's because Krueger, marshaling persuasive statistics and analysis, comes down firmly on the side of politics, noting most terrorists are middle-class and well-educated.
No historian can take part with--or against--the forces he has to study. To him even the extinction of the human race should merely be a fact to be grouped with other vital statistics.
Although to penetrate into the intimate mysteries of nature and thence to learn the true causes of phenomena is not allowed to us, nevertheless it can happen that a certain fictive hypothesis may suffice for explaining many phenomena.
A formal manipulator in mathematics often experiences the discomforting feeling that his pencil surpasses him in intelligence.
Natural selection is a mechanism for generating an exceedingly high degree of improbability.
"I was counting the waves", replied Amory gravely, "I'm going in for statistics".
Man is a tool-making animal
In the world of minor lunacy the behaviour of both the utterly rational and the totally insane seems equally odd.
There can be no question, however, that prolonged commitment to mathematical exercises in economics can be damaging. It leads to the atrophy of judgement and intuition. . .
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